Forex News
South Korea says new FX steps will boost won’s status, business for firms


© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A South Korea won note is seen in this illustration photo May 31, 2017. REUTERS/Thomas White/Illustration
By Choonsik Yoo and Yena Park
SEOUL (Reuters) -South Korea’s plans to loosen restrictions in its currency market will raise the won’s status globally and boost business opportunities for local financial firms, a vice finance minister told Reuters on Thursday.
The new measures, unveiled earlier this week, call for more than doubling the trading hours for the won until past midnight local time and allowing qualified global financial firms to directly trade the currency through two onshore spot brokerage houses.
Vice Minister Bang Ki-sun said the government was working on follow-up measures with the aim of implementing the plans in July next year, while dismissing concerns the moves could make the won more volatile.
“We are not fully allowing the won to be freely traded outside the country but just make it more convertible,” Bang told Reuters in an interview, adding the government would still maintain its oversight over the financial institutions trading the won.
South Korea has grown to one of the world’s top 10 economies in just a few decades but has kept a tight grip on its currency market, mainly out of the trauma from its near sovereign default in the late 1990s during the Asia financial crisis.
South Korea’s economy contracted in the December quarter but Bang said the most recent information indicated it would return to growth in the January-March period, without providing specific data.
He said there was no meaningful factor seen behind massive foreign fund outflows in the past two consecutive months from local bond market, other than the fact there was a large amount of bonds coming to maturity during the period.
RISKS FROM REAL ESTATE MARKET SLUMP
Bang also said there was almost no danger of South Korea’s cooling real estate market causing a systemic risk to the larger financial system, noting policy measures have succeeded in diffusing money market strains related to property projects.
House prices in South Korea fell 1.98% in December from a month earlier, the fastest drop since data releases began in late 2003 and a seventh consecutive month of decline.
“While there could still be companies falling into trouble individually, we can deal with them with targeted measures, but in general, I don’t see the real estate market-related problems will cause a broader systemic risk,” Bang said.
The three-month commercial paper yield had soared by more than 200 basis points (bps) in a few weeks from just above 3% in late September last year on concerns about possible debt defaults by property developers.
The government, along with the financial regulator and central bank, has since stepped in with a series of aid programmes and the yield has fallen retreated by more than 100 bps in several weeks.
Regarding the won’s rapid gain of more than 15% over the past three months, Bang played down its impact on exports, saying the country’s exporters now compete with their brand power and quality rather than prices.
“Korea’s export structure has been changing toward relying more on quality competitiveness, and so, we should make more efforts to that direction,” Bang said, while explaining the reduced impact of the foreign exchange rate on exports.

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Forex News
Asia FX dips on weak Chinese data, hawkish Fed comments


© Reuters.
Investing.com — Most Asian currencies retreated on Tuesday as disappointing Chinese economic data posited a weak outlook for the region’s largest economy, while hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials also brewed uncertainty over the path of U.S. interest rates.
fell 0.1% and traded near a two-month low after data showed and grew less than expected in April. The readings, which come on the heels of several weak economic indicators earlier this month, point to a staggered recovery in Asia’s largest economy, even after the country relaxed most anti-COVID measures earlier this year.
The weak data also saw markets positioning for a potential 25 basis point rate cut by the People’s Bank next month, which is likely to fuel further weakness in the yuan. The currency was trading just shy of the psychologically important 7 level against the dollar.
Weakness in China spilled over into other Asian currency markets, particularly those with a high trade exposure to the country. The fell 0.1%, while the led losses across Southeast Asia with a 0.3% dip, as traders also locked in recent profits in the currency.
The fell 0.1%, also coming under pressure from a sharp drop in in the face of rising interest rates and worsening economic conditions.
Sentiment towards risk-driven assets was also rattled by a slew of Federal Reserve officials warning that the bank could still act further to bring down stubborn inflation. said in separate addresses that interest rates were likely to stay higher for longer, with some officials also raising the possibility of more interest rate hikes.
The and steadied near a one-month high on Tuesday, after logging small losses in the prior session. But the greenback still strengthened against the by about 0.1%.
The dollar moved little this week as markets hunkered down in anticipation of more U.S. economic signals this week, starting with and due later in the day.
Several more Fed speakers are also lined up for the week, most notably on Friday.
show that markets are still positioning for a pause in the Fed’s rate hike cycle in June. But traders are also factoring in a small chance of a 25 basis point hike.
The prospect of U.S. rates remaining higher for longer bodes poorly for Asian currencies, as the gap between risky and low-risk yields narrows.
Forex News
Dollar slips as banking turmoil snares markets


NEW YORK/LONDON (Reuters) -The dollar fell on Friday as further declines in the shares of Credit Suisse and First Republic Bank (NYSE:) rattled markets fearful of contagion and increased concerns that a recession lies ahead because of the impact of tighter monetary policy.
An early recovery in European stocks ran out of steam as investor sentiment remained fragile after a week of turbulence following the failure of Silicon Valley Bank on March 10.
U.S. banks have sought a record $153 billion in emergency liquidity from the Federal Reserve in recent days, while the $54 billion loan for Credit Suisse and $30 billion lifeline for First Republic failed to halt their stock declines. Credit Suisse fell 8% in Europe and First Republic tumbled 30%.
The , a measure of the dollar against six other currencies, slid 0.604% as traders waited for the Fed’s two-day policy meeting that is expected to end with a one-quarter percentage point hike in interest rates on March 22.
Contracts for fed funds futures show a 61.3% probability that the Fed will raise rates by 25 basis points, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool. Futures also show the Fed will have cut rates by July in a sign recession fears are mounting as the U.S. central bank tightens monetary policy to fight high inflation.
Whether the banking turmoil of the past week leads to an immediate recession is hard to say, said Mazen Issa, senior FX strategist at TD Securities in New York.
“It probably increases the probability that you do have a recession and perhaps it increases the probability that you may have a hard-landing scenario, a more severe recession dynamic,” he said.
“Once you have one regional bank go down, households question whether or not the regional banks are in trouble, that’s a natural human emotion to feel,” he said.
Banking troubles revived memories of the 2008 financial crisis, when dozens of institutions failed or were bailed out with billions of dollars of government and central bank money.
Three smaller U.S. lenders, including First Republic, have had regulators and other banks step in to prop them up, while in Europe, Credit Suisse became the first major global bank since the financial crisis to get an emergency lifeline.
“There is a wait and see approach as to what will happen with the U.S. economy,” said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA in New York. “Now we’re not debating a‘soft landing, no landing.’ We’re debating is it a mild or severe recession?”
The euro rose 0.66% to $1.0675.
The rescue of First Republic on Thursday initially boosted risk appetite on Friday as concerns about global banks eased, making way for surges in the Australian and New Zealand dollars.
Sterling last traded at $1.2192, up 0.70%, while the dollar fell 0.39% against the Swiss franc. Earlier this week, the franc plunged the most against the dollar in one day since 2015, when the Swiss central bank loosened its currency peg.
The Japanese yen, which tends to benefit in times of extreme market volatility or stress, strengthened 1.48% versus the greenback to 131.77 per dollar.
Japan’s Ministry of Finance, Financial Services Agency and Bank of Japan officials met on Friday evening to discuss financial markets.
Masato Kanda, vice finance minister for international affairs, told reporters after the trilateral meeting that the government, the central bank and the banking watchdog would coordinate to ensure the stability of the financial system.
The Australian dollar, which often outperforms when investors are feeling optimistic, rose 0.81% to $0.671.
Currency bid prices at 3:09 p.m. (1909 GMT)
Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct Change High Bid Low Bid
Previous
Session
Dollar index 103.7400 104.3900 -0.60% 0.242% +104.4400 +103.6800
Euro/Dollar $1.0677 $1.0611 +0.62% -0.36% +$1.0686 +$1.0611
Dollar/Yen 131.7650 133.7800 -1.49% +0.51% +133.7350 +131.5550
Euro/Yen 140.68 141.91 -0.87% +0.27% +142.2000 +140.1700
Dollar/Swiss 0.9255 0.9293 -0.38% +0.12% +0.9299 +0.9241
Sterling/Dollar $1.2194 $1.2110 +0.69% +0.82% +$1.2200 +$1.2103
Dollar/Canadian 1.3721 1.3722 +0.00% +1.28% +1.3773 +1.3679
Aussie/Dollar $0.6708 $0.6658 +0.79% -1.56% +$0.6724 +$0.6650
Euro/Swiss 0.9883 0.9859 +0.24% -0.12% +0.9911 +0.9841
Euro/Sterling 0.8754 0.8760 -0.07% -1.02% +0.8782 +0.8745
NZ Dollar/Dollar $0.6271 $0.6196 +1.20% -1.24% +$0.6277 +$0.6192
Dollar/Norway 10.6960 10.7700 -0.68% +9.00% +10.7660 +10.6700
Euro/Norway 11.4219 11.4211 +0.01% +8.84% +11.4412 +11.3507
Dollar/Sweden 10.4853 10.5049 +0.29% +0.74% +10.5515 +10.4430
Euro/Sweden 11.1910 11.1582 +0.29% +0.42% +11.2054 +11.1239
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